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USPTO
LONDON â Since London's ban on Uber was proposed a few days ago, I have a had a series of arguments with friends and strangers over whether the ban is right or wrong. The debate has brought London alive â on some days it feels like the only issue anyone is talking about. Nearly 800,000 people signed a Change.org petition asking the government to save Uber. Forty-thousand jobs with Uber are at stake, and 3.5 million Londoners use Uber regularly. Twenty-thousand black cab drivers would love the ban to survive its legal challenge. Even prime minister Theresa May weighed in.
Everyone in the capital has a stake and an opinion.
Interestingly, almost all my discussions have ended up the same way, even when we vehemently disagree: "None of this will matter when they start using driverless cars anyway," one of us will say. And we both laugh politely, the way one does when you're trying not think about the fact that Uber is going to drop those 40,000 drivers in favour of an army of robots.
The most expensive part of driving is the human
The company is already working on its driverless future. On September 28 the company published a patent application for an "autonomous vehicle communication configuration system" that will allow a central command to monitor multiple vehicles, none of which have drivers.
There is a relentless logic to it.
In a research note published by UBS on "the mass adoption of robotaxis" last week, analyst David Lesne and his team noted that in any transport system â private car, public transit, or Uber â the most expensive part is the person doing the driving.
Driving to work in a private car imposes an average daily commuting cost on the owner of â¬24 per day (about $24), UBS says. In a world of robotaxis, with no need to buy a car, that cost falls to â¬7.2 per day. "Getting rid of their private car would enable the shared mobility user to travel about 10,000km per year in a robotaxi and save â¬5,000 per year," UBS calculates:
"Robotaxis will likely price-compete with mass-transit systems. The shift towards electric autonomous vehicles, combined with more advanced fleet optimization and servicing platforms, next-generation traffic management and more intense competition, should reduce the fee charged to passengers of robotaxis by as much as 80% versus a ride-on-demand trip today. The technology to make robotaxis a reality is already available. In this new paradigm, owning a private car will cost almost twice as much as using robotaxis regularly."
That is an extraordinary thought: An Uber ride that costs £10 today â already roughly half the price of a back cab â might cost only £2 in a few years' time, UBS says. The cost of providing cars without drivers might be so small that companies could offer rides for free, UBS speculates, and make money on the advertising inside them.
That is a real problem if you're an Uber driver.
The smart money says that in the short-term Uber will successfully challenge the ban and reach a compromise that will allow it to operate without interruption. The real threat to Uber drivers comes from Uber itself, and its long-term plan to get rid of all drivers. (Former CEO Travis Kalanick told Business Insider this was the plan back in 2016.)
And it's not just 40,000 Uber drivers.
The scale of the jobs carnage will be vast
Any job that involves a human behind a wheel will be threatened in the next 20 years. Driverless technology is being developed by a dozen or more large tech companies, including Google (Alphabet) and possibly Apple in its Berlin lab.
The scale of the carnage in the jobs market will be vast. It's not just drivers. It is any job where artificial intelligence can do it cheaper than a human. The research team at Morgan Stanley sent a note to clients last week that calculated some of those savings (i.e. job losses):
Annual salary of a regulated financial institution IT operations worker in New York: $70-80,000. Annual licence fee for a robot doing the equivalent work of up to five humans $8-11,000.Morgan Stanley says 90% of factory jobs and 50% of office jobs are at risk of disappearing in Europe and the US:
"... not only the jobs with routine/repetitive tasks are at a high risk of automation (up to 90% we estimate) but AI also puts jobs involving cognitive skills at risk although the probability is lower at up to 40%. We estimate that 50% of the US/European white collar jobs (including office and clerical jobs) are at the risk of automation. We think it is unlikely that job losses would reach this level given that this is a long-term forecast (we assume only c.16% penetration by 2022) and new skills and jobs will be created over time. However, it is clear that some jobs will be permanently lost, which should impact staffing revenue and earnings growth."
What is to be done?
There is one growth area for jobs that pays a lot better than driving: Tech jobs. Specifically coding.
There is no unemployment in tech. Companies are desperate for qualified workers, and the world can't produce coders or engineers fast enough. Even entry-level coders can instantly enter the middle class. A random sample of the first page of London tech jobs on Indeed shows that minimum starting salaries are £45,000 ($60,000). Salaries escalate quickly from there. Highly qualified individuals with a few years expertise can name their price.
All these driverless cars, these fleets of autonomous vehicles â and anything else that uses tech, i.e. everythingâ will need people to write and manage software, in just the same way that every office that once had a typing pool now only employs people who know how to use email. In the future, being able to code will be as important as being able to read. (It might be more important, given that Siri and Alexa will be able to just read stuff to you without you looking at it.)
If the Uber ban â intended to begin this weekend â teaches us anything, it is that parents and schools need to teach their kids how to code software. In fact, I wouldn't wait for your kids' school to get its act together. If I were you, I would sit them in front of an online course as soon as you can.
Parents, teach your kids to code. Now.
It takes money to make money and right now a lot of that money is going into the development of artificial intelligence. Ray Dalio explains the importance of understanding and how he and his hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, is approaching the technological shift. Read More
It has been well documented that Goldman Sachs is on a mission to become the Google of Wall Street.
And a pie chart in a new report by CB Insights shows the degree to which the bank is trying to become more like a tech company.Â
The report, which dissects the investment bank's strategy, said 46% of Goldman's recent job listings were in tech.Â
"The highest percentage of technology jobs were for platform roles, followed by operations engineering and equities technology positions," the report said.Â
Business Insider reported in July that the bank was building an iOS app for its growing crop of digital retail banking services. That's one of the main areas in which the bank is actively seeking talent, according to the report.Â
The bank is also hiring folks to fill the ranks of its fast-growing Marquee platform. Business Insider first reported that Goldman was looking to build up Marquee, which provides clients access to the bank's analytics, data, content and trading capabilities via a browser of API.Â
The bank posted eight job ads for roles relating to Marquee in New York in July, and has also advertised a further 12 roles in Bengalaru and four in Warsaw.Â
But the pie chart really says it all:
CB Insights
Puerto Rico is still suffering from the aftermath of Hurricanes Irma and Maria that left 3.5 million people without power.
Hurricane Irma, which hit Puerto Rico earlier this month, left one million Puerto Ricans without power. The island was still recovering from the storm's aftermath when Hurricane Maria hit, crippling the entire island's electrical infrastructure.
Here's what you need to know:
The streaming giants have released the new titles that will be coming to their services in October, and there will be a lot of movies and TV to choose from.Â
From the comfort of your home, titles like "War for the Planet of the Apes" and the documentary "Spielberg" â on the legendary director â will be available, as well as a new season of the Amazon original "Red Oaks" and the long-awaited return of HBO's "Curb Your Enthusiasm."Â
Here's everything coming to your favorite streaming platforms in October. We've highlighted some standouts in bold:
Traders aren't yet ready to let Equifax up off the mat.
Short interest â a measure of wagers that share prices will drop â has continued to climb since initial reports of the company's massive data breach that cost its CEO his job.
It now sits at $281 million, according to the financial-analytics firm S3 Partners. Further, traders are holding 2.6 million shares short, an increase of 570,000 since the hack was first announced.
All of that has occurred even as shares have mounted a 14% recovery, which followed a 35% plunge immediately after the hack was first announced.
That investors have been willing to stick with their short wagers even as Equifax's stock has rallied shows the level of conviction they have that the company's fortunes will sour further.
And they still have shares at their disposal, should they want to add to short positions. Right now, only 2.2% of Equifax's available shares are being used, leaving ample stock available to borrow, S3 says.
One last interesting wrinkle to the Equifax story is that it wasn't short sellers who drove the large drop in the company's stock â it was long holders who elected to decrease their holdings, according to S3.
In other words, a disproportionate number of Equifax shareholders are now holding the stock short, aka betting on it to fail. That's a dicey position for the company, recent rebound or not.
Oath CEO Tim Armstrong has seemingly changed his story on Verizon's ad ambitions.
When Verizon purchased AOL for $4.4 billion, the emphasis was on the powerful potential of combining AOL's advertising-technology assets with Verizon's vast pools of consumer data. The $4.48 billion acquisition of Yahoo, which gave the wireless giant access to millions more web consumers along with another set of ad-tech systems and consumer data, was only going to help take that to another level.
Not long ago, Armstrong was telling ad buyers that Verizon's data and AOL and Yahoo's scale were going to help the company challenge Facebook and Google. If Facebook's ad-targeting strength is drawn from its users' self-reported personal data, and Google's power came from billions of people typing into search boxes what they are interested in, Verizon has unique data on over 145 million subscribers, such as where they live and what kind of apps they use. That could be hugely powerful for ad targeting.
But Armstrong has noticeably backed off that claim recently while seriously downplaying the data-driven ad-targeting rationale behind the Verizon deals. Instead, the emphasis on Oath â the new name for the Verizon/AOL/Yahoo mash-up â is about being a "house of brands."
That message is apparent in the company's new marketing campaign, which includes a video featuring former Public Enemy front man Chuck D talking about people's love of coffee and sneakers and other brands.
In fact, during an Advertising Week keynote on Tuesday, Armstrong was asked repeatedly by CNBC anchor Julia Boorstin whether Oath could seriously take on Google and Facebook â and he largely demurred.
"Having a strategy of being in business because people don't like Google and Facebook is a bad strategy," he said.
Boorstin also pressed Armstrong several times to articulate the big-picture motivation behind Verizon assembling all these digital assets, and he scarcely mentioned data and ad targeting.
Instead, Armstrong described what he saw as two big moves Verizon was newly able to make. The company is planning to push Oath brands like HuffPost and TechCrunch onto more people's Android phones via a product called AppFlash. In addition, Oath wants to explore ways down the road to subsidize content and services for consumers, presumably to keep them more loyal to the wireless carrier.
When it comes to battling the duopoly, he said as Google and Facebook were in a war, Oath could serve as an "arms dealer."
But did Verizon really spend over $8 billion for AOL and Yahoo to get Tumblr and Yahoo Sports on more people's phones? It's not clear how this will happen for millions of iPhone users who interact with Verizon only when they pay their bill.
Could Armstrong be downplaying Verizon's data-driven plans to avoid the attention of regulators? The threat of consumer-privacy legislation? Or just to lower expectations?
Armstrong was vague regarding Verizon's long-term digital-media game plan, saying, "We're still in the second inning."
He alluded to the privacy dance Verizon has to navigate, arguing that its consumer data offered an "opportunity and a challenge." He said wireless providers were under more scrutiny than Silicon Valley companies.
It's a far cry from recent talk of taking on digital ad titans and aspiring to build the "number one media and tech company in the world," as he told Recode in 2016.
Still, Armstrong did hint that competition with Facebook and Google was still a goal. He told Boorstin that when YouTube saw a slew of advertisers pull back on spending after some ads were spotted next to dicey videos, "our revenue went up."
There's a new battle brewing in the ongoing war for control at Uber as the company prepares to reset itself after appointing a new CEO.
On Friday night, former CEO Travis Kalanick surprised the company by appointing two new members to the board, apparently without notifying the company and other board members. An Uber spokesperson told Business Insider the move was "a complete surprise."
Kalanick's appointments came ahead of the board's meetings to consider new rules of governance for the company that would change shareholder voting rights and potentially the structure of the board.
In a statement to Business Insider Friday night, Kalanick basically admitted his surprise appointments were designed to get in front of the proposed changes to the board structure. Kalanick had power over those two empty seats, and he appointed Xerox chairwoman Ursula Burns and former Merrill Lynch CEO John Thain.
"I am appointing these seats now in light of a recent Board proposal to dramatically restructure the Board and significantly alter the companyâs voting rights," Kalanick said in his statement. "It is therefore essential that the full Board be in place for proper deliberation to occur, especially with such experienced board members as Ursula and John."
Recode's Kara Swisher and Theodore Schleifer reported more details on the proposals that the board is considering next week. Some of the changes could reduce the voting power Kalanick and other shareholders have. According to Recode, some of the options on the table include:
Removing special voting power of some shareholders like Kalanick and the VC firm and early Uber investor Benchmark. Kalanick would lose one of the three board seats he controls, and a representative from SoftBank, which is considering a major investment in Uber, would get the seat instead. Kalanick would be able to appoint someone to the third board seat he controls, but with restrictions attached, like approval from Uber's new CEO Dara Khosrowshahi. The seat must also be filled by a c-suite executive from a Fortune 100 company.Obviously, most of these new proposals would limit Kalanick's power on the board, which could explain why he decided to appoint members to the empty board seats he controls without any warning. Recode's report says some of these proposals will be considered by the Uber board on Tuesday.Â
Dragan Radovanovic / Business Insider
The Trade Desk, an advertising-technology company, took a dive into the cookie pools of readers of two "fake news" stories, one targeting readers on the left and the other on the right. It calculated "relevance scores" for a variety of characteristics for each of the two articles, getting an idea of how the audiences for the posts differed from the population at large. It found that fake-news readers interested in a pro-Trump story were more likely to be older, white, and in the military or work for the federal government. Those lured by a fake story about the Standing Rock protest by Native Americans were more likely to be affluent, college-educated, and working in the financial-services industry.Who reads fake news anyway? We all have that uncle or colleague who shares dubiously sourced articles from websites that sound like they belong to national news organizations but don't.
While the focus these days is on fake news that targeted conservative voters â thanks to the specific allegation that the Russian government propagated this kind if misinformation on Facebook to sway last year's presidential election â it's important to note that liberal readers were also lured into fake stories that fit their political mind-set.
Ad-tech company The Trade Desk took a closer look at the readers of fake-news stories of both kinds to build a profile of who took the bait â both from the right and the left â using the same tools a business might deploy to target their advertising.
One story was from a site called American News titled "BREAKING: Congressional Plot To Bring Down Donald Trump Escalates ... They Have Momentum Now," while the other was a story titled "Police Raid Standing Rock Camp, Dismantle Tipis And Are Burning What Remains" from the Alternative Media Syndicate.
The fact-checking site Snopes.com lists a number "false" stories from American News, including this one about a plan to add President Barack Obama to Mount Rushmore. The Standing Rock story was specifically outed by Snopes as one that was dubbed "fake" by one of the protest organizers.
The Trade Desk used the "cookie pool" â or the list of other websites viewed within an hour of reading one of the fake stories â of users clicking each story to try to home in on profiles of who these readers are. It created a "relevance score" that shows the ratio of the likelihood that a reader of an article has a certain trait, like an age bracket or a gender, compared to the prevalence of that trait in the overall US population.
We're describing this as a "glimpse" into fake-news readers because there's an obvious limitation to the study. The analysis looked at only two stories, and we don't know what readers did next (like share the story on Facebook). That said, The Trade Desk is doing these analyses as the industry tries to work out how to keep advertisers away from this kind of content. Plus, it's an important reminder that liberal readers (and voters) are also susceptible to the lure of a too-good-to-be-true headline.
"The most surprising finding of our study is that fake news affects both the right and the left, the educated and uneducated," The Trade Desk's CEO, Jeff Green, told Business Insider. "There was also a strong correlation between what people read and how they voted. Of course, we expected peopleâs voting to be influenced by what they read; however, the truth was secondary to the content and volume of what they read."
Here are some of the characteristics of the readers of the right-wing American News article, according to The Trade Desk's estimates. The numbers below show how much more likely these readers are to match a certain trait than the general population:
Business Insider/Andy Kiersz, data from The Trade Desk
According to The Trade Desk, fake-news readers on the right were more likely to be older, white, and in the military or work for the federal government.
They were about 56 times as likely to be Gen-Xers, 22 times as likely to be white, and 21 times as likely to be male than Americans as a whole. They were also 39 times as likely to be in the property industry than the US population at large, and 27 times as likely to be over 65.
On the other hand, here are some of the characteristics of readers of the left-wing article from Alternative Media Syndicate:
Business Insider/Andy Kiersz, data from The Trade Desk
Fake-news readers on the left were more likely to be affluent and college-educated, wealthy, and in financial services.
Specifically, they were 54 times as likely to be politically influential, 34 times as likely to be college graduates, and 31 times as likely to be "positive idealists" than the overall US population.
The Trade Desk also looked at relevancy scores based on geography. States that are more conservative unsurprisingly tended to attract more readers to the right-wing American News article:
Business Insider/Andy Kiersz, data from The Trade Desk
The map bears some resemblance to the 2016 Electoral College map. States that had higher relevancy scores for the right-wing American News article were more likely to vote for Trump last November:
Andy Kiersz/Skye Gould/Business Insider
Ultimately, the goal of the study was to help protect advertisers from being caught up in the world of fake news, said Green. Once advertisers become aware of such publishers, they may be discouraged from running fake stories, he said.
"Understanding fake news helps us protect advertisers from being there. We want to defund fake news," he said. "Itâs good for all reputable players. We think changing the economics or moneymaking prospects of fake journalism is the fastest way to end it."
Shutterstock/Pabkov
Wayfair, the e-commerce company that generates $3.4 billion in annual sales of home goods and furnishings, loses roughly $10 for every new customer it acquires, according to a new analysis by two business school professors.Â
That unseemly statistic doesn't bode well for the company's future prospects, and it implies that Wayfair â which opened trading Wednesday at about $69 a share, giving it a market value of about $6 billion â could be overvalued by more than 80%.Â
In a lengthy paper released late last week, Daniel McCarthy, an assistant professor of marketing at Emory University, and Peter Fader, a marketing professor at Wharton, present a new method of valuing publicly-traded retailers that focuses on customer retention. Wayfair is an unfortunate guinea pig example.Â
The thrust of their analysis, which sprawls over 50 pages, is this: If you can suss out how much a company spends to attract each new customer and how much customers spends over their lifetime before ditching the company, you can deduce a company's future revenues and overall value.Â
In Wayfair's case, McCarthy and Fader estimate that Wayfair is spending about $69 to acquire new customers, but it's only earning $59 back from the customer over the long haul.
"So they're losing money every time they acquire a new customer," McCarthy told Business Insider.
The paper calculates the company's value at $10.24 a share â about 85% below where the stock opened Wednesday.
A Wayfair spokesman declined to comment and referred Business Insider to research published by a Wall Street analyst who took issue with the assumptions in McCarthy's research.Â
But the company has addressed the issue of customer acquisition costs and profits previously in presentations to investors. The company is currently unprofitable â having lost nearly $200 million in 2016 â but Wayfair and its investors, of course, believe it'll outgrow this problem over time and start turning a profit.Â
McCarthy and Fader say the customer-retention data doesn't back that up.
Another Blue Apron?
The academic duo used similar analysis on retailers with subscription models, like Blue Apron. Prior to the meal-kit company's initial public offering, McCarthy calculated that the company's $10 a share opening price was significantly overvalued given its ugly customer-retention figures, calling for a best-case price of $8.40 a share.Â
Blue Apron cratered after its IPO, and today stands at roughly $5.50 a share.Â
Markets InsiderApplying this analysis to retailers with non-subscription business models â companies like Wayfair, Amazon, or Walmart â is much thornier, as customer purchasing patterns are far less predictable and customer churn isn't observable.
But with the right customer data metrics, you can glean a far better picture of a company's health, according to McCarthy and Fader.
"Wayfair has disclosed data along all of these dimensions for many years now â quarterly customers acquired, total orders, active customers, and revenues â which allows us to use some statistical modeling to 'back out' what the implied customer retention and spend are for customers," McCarthy told Business Insider.
The paper compares Wayfair with Overstock.com, another online retailer, albeit a more mature company with more general product offerings. Overstock releases similarly useful customer-focused data, though its prospects look a lot brighter: Because the company spends a lot less to acquire customers â $38 compared to Wayfair's $69 â it actually turns a $9 profit on each new customer.Â
Courtesy Daniel McCarthy
If Wayfair reduced its customer acquisition costs to the same level as Overstock, its expected valuation would double, provided all else was equal, according to the paper.Â
Of course, as with any valuation, assumptions are baked into the formulas and uncertainty exists. In the most optimistic scenario â in which Wayfair quarterly revenues eventually beat the baseline expectation in 2022 by a multiple of five â McCarthy and Fader estimate the company's value at $57 a share, or 19% below what Wayfair is trading at today.Â
$1.2 billion in value erased
Google FinanceSince the paper was published late last week, Wayfair shares have already fallen from $83.77 to around $69 a share at Wednesday's market open â a more than 17% drop. Its market value has fallen by more than $1.2 billion.Â
This is, it should be noted, a small dent given that the shares had more than doubled in the year through last week. Wayfair was already a popular target for short sellers this year â who profit from a falling stock price â though so far they've taken a bath on that bet.Â
They were quick to jump on the research. Citron Research, the firm run by noted short-seller Andrew Left, has long been critical of Wayfair and was quick to tout the analysis.Â
Smartest piece EVER written on $W. Not by a short or long. By a team of Ivy League scientists who specialize in predictive models. $10 tgt
Cannot argue with this analysis- target $10 Smarter work than ANYONE on Wall Street has ever done on Wayfair. https://t.co/JpDPS8NA7A
An equity analyst that covers Wayfair initially jumped to the company's defense. Aaron Kessler, of Raymond James, issued a note on Friday claiming McCarthy's analysis had "many questionable assumptions" and saying investors had overreacted.
Kessler followed up with an additional note Monday saying he had incorrectly interpreted portions of the paper but still disagreed with other aspects, notably customer retention and overall valuation.
Here's Kessler:
"The report argues that a cohort of customers is acquired and active for a period of time and then churns or becomes permanently inactive. We struggle with the assertion that consumers become permanently inactive on Wayfair -- caveat being a consumer had a really bad consumer experience. Wayfair publishes its repeat rate quarterly which continues to increase as its base of active customers matures (61% of orders in 2Q from repeat vs. 37% in 2012).
"We believe the analysis may be missing is that customers purchasing home goods likely purchase in waves - that is the consumer will purchase the most after they complete a move."
But McCarthy says Wayfair has a long enough track record of data to account for any potential issues regarding customers purchasing in waves. Annual data for Wayfair exists going back to 2003 and more granular quarterly data is available starting in the first quarter of 2013.Â
And, he says, he and Fader have a business that models and analyzes customer-retention costs for dozens of large companies as well as asset managers performing due diligence â which gives him confidence in his analysis.
Analyzing a company with their cooperation and internal data isn't identical to analyzing a public company from afar for an academic paper, but the model and methodology remains the same, according to Fader, who has been at Wharton for 31 years and researching these specific models for the past 15.
"The basic models used here are quite standard and well-accepted in the quant marketing area â many of my colleagues and students (and countless practitioners) have been using them for years on internal transaction data," Fader told Business Insider.Â
Joe Ciolli contributed to this report.Â
A safe haven sounds like a good idea right about now.
Somewhere that's warm but not too warm, free from hurricanes and flood-causing downpours, and close to a body of water yet far enough to avoid the threat of sea-level rise.
Which places does that leave? According to climate scientists and urban planners, not a lot.
"The bottom line is it's going to be bad everywhere," Bruce Riordan, the director of the Climate Readiness Institute at the University of California, Berkeley, told Business Insider. "It's a matter of who gets organized around this."
Still, some areas have a better chance of surviving the onslaught of a warmer planet than others, Vivek Shandas, an urban-planning professor at Portland State University, told Business Insider.
"There are places that might at least temper the effects of climate change," he said.
All of them are cities, which tend to be less isolated than rural areas, and most are in the Pacific Northwest.
"Much of the Pacific Northwest is really well-positioned for being one of the better places for climate change," Shandas said.
Andrey Bayda/Shutterstock
Urban parts of that region tend to be newer, meaning that their infrastructure â which includes water systems, the power grid, and public transportation â is more modern and "more resilient to major shocks," Shandas said. That's key when it comes to coping with heat and rising water. It also gives the Pacific Northwest an advantage over cities whose infrastructure is badly in need of updates.Â
"Generally speaking, the US gets about a D+ for things like this," Shandas said. "Much of our infrastructure was built in the late 1800s, and it's beginning to fall apart."
Riordan agreed. "A lot of places are running into real maintenance issues which lead to delays and overcrowding and operational issues because of aging systems," he said.
Geographically speaking, cities in the Pacific Northwest are also conveniently situated near natural resources like water â an integral buffer against drought â and hills, which provide access to higher elevations with cooler temperatures. The region's temperature is naturally fairly mild, making it a good candidate for those hoping to avoid the heat waves that are already becoming more common.Â
"What weâre seeing is longer durations of heat waves every year since 2012," Shandas said. "So one of the key questions is 'How is this area going to cope for the next one?'"
Episodes of intense heat can be exacerbated by a phenomenon called the urban heat island effect, wherein cities essentially act as furnaces, generating so much heat that they become significantly warmer than the areas surrounding them.
One of the largest studies on the effects of heat waves took place in Chicago in the 1990s. That study revealed another important measure of a city's ability to cope with climate change: how involved, enfranchised, and well-organized its populations are. The Chicago residents who fared worst during the heat wave were those who were isolated â typically, people with lower incomes and less access to resources. Those who did better, on the other hand, had historically benefited more from social policies that had incorporated them into society.
"Neighborhoods that are connected do better when these things happen," Riordan said.
That's why Shandas and his team assess social inequity when evaluating how prepared a city is for the future.
"What climate change does is it amplifies these inequities," Shandas said. "It's usually people with resources that have things like air-conditioning units, or cars to escape a hurricane. If a city has a lot of inequity, we can begin to speculate that any event â be it a flood, a heat wave, whatever â will really have a lot of impact and make things worse."
Cities like Seattle and Portland score well on measures of social equality or have plans in place to help distribute resources more fairly. Portland, for example, is one of the only cities with a working group tasked with reducing racial and economic inequality as it relates to potential climate-action policies.
San Francisco also scores well on these measures (though it's not in the Pacific Northwest), since 98% of its population lives within a half-mile of regularly operating transportation. That makes wealth or income less of a factor when it comes to accessing transit during an emergency.
However, it's important to remember that climate change is not going to act selectively, and a stark impact felt in one part of the planet will have far-reaching implications elsewhere.
"Weâre headed into a world that's going to look very different for everybody," Riordan said. "Thatâs not at the end of the century. That's pretty damn soon."
We could all use a change of scenery once in a while, and travel is a nice way to switch things up.
But some people crave something slightly more permanent. Working abroad can provide you with the opportunity to truly immerse yourself in a different locale.
Karoli Hindricks, CEO of international tech marketplace Jobbatical, said working abroad is great for people who "feel the need to travel, step out of their comfort zones, and go on adventures."
But the process of securing a job abroad is quite a bit more complicated than simply finding work at home.
Here are some tips on how to approach traveling abroad to find work:
It may be part of the world's biggest retailer now, but Jet still has its own personality.
Inside Jet's headquarters in Hoboken, New Jersey, a year after Walmart acquired it for $3.3 billion, the company still feels very much like a startup.
A pool table, with felt in the company's signature purple, is next to the chairs in the visitors' waiting area. Employees mill about with laptops, collaborating and chatting.
"One of the things that's been really important to Walmart since day one ... was making sure we created a path forward that let Jet be Jet," Jet.com President Liza Landsman told Business Insider.
Take a look around Jet's headquarters.Â